Wednesday, 20 February 2013

AC Milan v Barcelona Preview

Tonight sees two of Europe's biggest clubs go head to head in the San Siro in a huge Champions League clash.  AC Milan and Barcelona are two of the biggest names in European football and it promises to be a fantastic spectacle.

Milan have the better history in this competition but Barcelona will be favourites when you consider the two sides current standing in world football.  Milan have been on a downward slide in recent times as their players ages have caught up with them.  They are now bringing in some younger players in an attempt to build another great Milan side but surely it's too much to ask a transitional Milan to beat one of the best club sides of all time. 

This Barcelona team are without doubt the best club side I've ever saw but maybe if I was just a few years older I might consider the great Milan team of the early 90's a rival to them.  I remember that team in flashes and even watched the 1994 Champions League Final as a nine year old when Milan battered Barcelona 4-0.  I was a little too young to truly appreciate that team and the only other rivals to Barcelona in my generation would be the Galactico's.  It is no doubt tight but in my opinion this Barcelona team are better.  Older readers may point to old Ajax, Bayern Munich and Real Madrid teams but I'm too young to consider them. 

Milan and Barcelona met four times last year in this competition after being drawn together in the group stages and the Quarter-Finals.  Barca got the better of the battles last year with two wins and two draws in the four games. Since then Milan have lost Gennaro Gattuso, Clarence Seedorf, Alessandro Nesta, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Thiago Silva.  Gattuso, Seedorf and Nesta were all getting a bit old but Ibrahimovic and Silva are players that are irreplaceable.  If a team that included those five were unable to get one over Barcelona I can't see this current team doing the job either.   

For tonight's game, Milan's new star striker, Mario Balotelli, misses out as he is cup tied.  Barcelona are also without one of their strikers.  David Villa misses out but Barca have plenty of other attacking options and his absence will not be as crucial to Barcelona as Balotelli's is to Milan.  Both sides are in good form however.  Both are unbeaten in six games and after a slow start Milan have lost just one of their last thirteen Serie A games.  Barcelona's league form has been terrific and even at this early stage it looks as though it's just a matter of time before they officially take Real Madrid's league crown off them.   

I am looking forward to this game as I watch Barcelona on a regular basis so know exactly what they are capable of.  I don't watch a lot of Milan so I am eager to get a look at this new team but I would have to say that in the little I have saw of them I don't think they are close to being on the same level as Barcelona.  I think we could see another Champions League mismatch similar to last night's tie between Arsenal and Bayern Munich.  I have no doubt that Barcelona will come out on top in this tie and I would be quite surprised if they don't go home to Spain with a lead.

Sunday, 17 February 2013

Football, The Biggest Loser

This blog is called GJ Sports Blog for a reason. I intended to use it and my Twitter account to discuss nothing other than sports. I never had any intention of using it to discuss politics but unfortunately sport and politics met in the ugliest of manners yesterday in North Belfast. Cliftonville and Crusaders were due to meet at Seaview, home of Crusaders, in a vital league match. The two sides currently sit in the top two places of the IFA Premiership and as things stand it looks like one of them will end the year as league champions. Neither side are in the habit of winning the league title, it has been fifteen years since Cliftonville won it and sixteen years since Crusaders won it. This should have been a great day for football in North Belfast. Unfortunately what materialised was something no right minded individual or football fan would have wanted. A protest took place which I will go further into later and the Police Service of Northern Ireland were unable to guarantee safe passage to the stadium for the Cliftonville fans and the game was therefore postponed.

I know that most of the hits this blog gets are not from Northern Ireland so I will give a bit of background on the situation. Politics in Northern Ireland are not quite like any other country. Unfortunately people don't care what political parties thoughts are on education, health, social welfare. People in this country will vote for someone or not vote for someone purely because they are catholic or protestant, British or Irish. It's a quite ridiculous state of affairs but unfortunately that's the country I live in and to be honest it sickens me. There are a lot of potentially good politicians who will never get the opportunity to make a difference as they either stand as independents or live in the wrong constituency. On the other hand there are as many idiots who get elected every time purely because they attach themselves to one of the big parties and people only care about what you are and not what you can do. Until this country moves beyond the green and orange divide it has no future. Sadly that doesn't seem like it will happen any time soon as any time there is trouble in Northern Ireland it always seems to be young people on the streets rioting. These people are younger than me and I only have vague memories of a time when the troubles were at their worst. Unfortunately we still seem to be teaching bigotry to our children and until that changes then I'm afraid to say this country has no chance.

Today's protest was the latest in a long line of protests throughout Northern Ireland about the decision by Belfast City Council to remove the Union flag from Belfast City Hall. As it was the flag flew 365 days a year but after a vote on 3rd December 2012 it was decided that the flag would only fly on eighteen designated days. Flags and emblems have always been a huge issue in Northern Ireland. Catholic areas will often fly the Irish tricolour and protestant areas will fly the Union flag. In the last election the nationalist (Catholics) gained a majority and were therefore able to get the motion passed and the flag now only flies on the eighteen designated days. Since then unionists and loyalists (Protestants) have took part in protests all over Northern Ireland in opposition to this decision. The majority have passed off peacefully but unfortunately on some occasions these protests have ended in violence. In recent weeks these protests have usually took place around the area of Belfast City Hall on a Saturday afternoon. There had been no protests at Seaview until today. Maybe I'm paranoid but I don't think it's a coincidence that the protesters picked today to hold a protest outside Seaview when Cliftonville, a team with a majority nationalist/catholic support were due to play at the stadium. It is nothing other than bigotry and there is absolutely no place for it in football or society in general.

It's important that I make it clear that this was in no way the fault of Crusaders Football Club. Crusaders have been working alongside Cliftonville in recent times to ensure that religious differences were kept away from this game and unfortunately for them they will ultimately be the biggest losers from this. The game will have to be played at some point and as I see it we are now left with just two options. The powers that be may decide to move the game to another venue as it can't be guaranteed that the protesters won't block the roads on the day that the game is to be replayed. The other option is the game goes ahead at Seaview with restrictions on travelling fans. Neither option will be ideal for Crusaders and regardless of what happens the game will now be played during the week which will reduce the attendance further and Crusaders will lose out on a lot of money. My opinion on what will happen is that the game will be played at Seaview but that Cliftonville fans will be forced to travel to the game on buses which is quite ridiculous when you consider that the journey would take less than five minutes on a bus. Many Cliftonville fans have already said that they won't go to Seaview if they are forced to go on a bus and not only are Crusaders losing revenue but the Cliftonville team will be without much needed support.

For me, the PSNI also have to accept most of the responsibility. They allowed protesters to gather on a route were they knew over a thousand football fans were due to pass on the way to a game. I was at Seaview earlier in the season for the first meeting between the clubs and the police presence was bordering on ridiculous. Every ten feet there was an armed police officer and dozens of Police Jeeps lined the streets. All for a football match were there has been no history of trouble between fans. Residents in the local area have made accusations of damaged property and sectarian abuse in the area but despite residents standing on the streets and in their gardens videoing fans, no evidence to back up these accusations has ever emerged. Police are obviously taking this seriously as the sheer volume of them is a lot more than I've ever saw at any other football match.

I was in Belfast early yesterday as I live over 30 miles away and had to collect a ticket I had ordered online from the Cliftonville shop. I was making my way down the Antrim Road at just after 1pm, two hours before kick off and there was already a heavy presence in the area that the Cliftonville fans were due to meet for the walk down to Seaview. I refuse to believe that there wasn't a similar presence in and around Seaview. Surely once even one person arrived in that area the police should have moved them on instead of standing watching them and allowing a situation to develop that they were no longer able or wanted to control. Being a Celtic fan and an Irish Catholic I've been accused of paranoia on many occasions but perhaps some clear thinking, better educated individual than myself can explain to me how a police force with a history of removing protesters forcibly, stood back and allowed a small crowd of people to cause disruption on such a huge scale. I'm all for allowing people their right to protest. In fact I have joined in many protests in my time, usually anti-war, against job cuts or poor pay but I have walked on the streets alongside fellow protesters as I felt a sense of injustice about something. The difference is that this protest took place to spoil a football match between two clubs who have been working together to keep these sort of issues away from their football clubs. The police handled this situation very poorly and I would like to think that neither Crusaders, Cliftonville or their fans will suffer due to their inability to handle what should have been a straight forward situation.

On a personal level, my initial shock has been overcome by anger. I had been looking forward to this match for weeks. I drove the 30 plus miles to get to Belfast and arrived around two hours before kick off to collect my ticket. I then went and sat in the car for about an hour as I had no other reason to be in Belfast whilst I waited or the organised, stewarded walk to the stadium. I got to Glandore Avenue were the fans were meeting and the Red Army were out in full force waiting for the go ahead from police to began the ten minute walk down to Seaview. Word spread quickly that a protest was under way down the road but we were then told that things were fine and the delay was just to make sure all the Cliftonville fans had arrived before setting off. Shortly afterwards a club official told us that there were issues down the road due to a protest and that unless the police gave assurances that the fans would get into and out of the ground safely the game would be called off. The next thing we were told was that the kick off had been delayed but that we were about to move. We got about twenty feet down the road before we were stopped again and this time people were saying that a riot was under way outside the ground and shortly after we were told that the game was postponed. Credit to the hundreds of Cliftonville fans who were gathered as once the game was postponed, they dispersed without any fuss. I have to be honest and say that I feared the worst as with a crowd that size, it only takes one idiot to start trouble but there was none of that and people were obviously disappointed but turned on their heels and made their back to the Antrim Road to get on with whatever they had planned for the rest of the day.

No doubt there will be much wrote about what happened but it is very important to remember that this had nothing to do with football, Crusaders, Cliftonville or the IFA. This was a bunch of bigots who choose to target a football match to get publicity for their cause and the inability of this countries police force to deal with it. The sad thing is that politicians will be trying to jump on this to gain votes and that is going to complicate things. If this issue was left to football people and only football people it would be sorted in no time but like everything else in this country it will be turned into a religious issue and politicians will point the finger at anyone for a vote and I have no faith in them to point their fingers at the right people. Sadly, it's football and it's supporters, whether catholic or protestant who are the biggest losers.

Tuesday, 12 February 2013

Celtic v Juventus Preview




The UEFA Champions League returns tonight and it promises to be a fantastic night at Paradise as Scottish champions, Celtic take on Italian giants, Juventus.  It will no doubt be a tough test for Neil Lennon's men but they should have nothing to fear.  They have already beat Barcelona at Celtic Park and came within seconds of a draw at the Nou Camp.  This is a special Celtic team with some special players and I hope they're not done with their European adventure yet. 

History would suggest that this will be a hard game for the Italians.  Celtic have faced two legged ties with Italian clubs on nine occasions and have never lost the home leg at Celtic Park.  Juventus have been to Paradise twice and lost on both occasions, most recently in 2001.  Celtic also have an exceptional record at home in the Champions League.  In 23 home games, they have lost just twice.  Both of those defeats came at the hands of Barcelona.  Neil Lennon spoke about bringing the thunder back to Celtic Park.  Not only has he succeeded in doing that, he has also gave the fans a team that can compete with the very best in Europe.

Juventus will most likely line up in their usual 3-5-2 formation.  They will be very strong throughout their team and will be very good technically.  Their midfield looks especially strong and will most likely include Andrea Pirlo, Paul Pogba and Arturo Vidal.  The battle between Pogba and Victor Wanyama in the midfield promises to be epic.  Both are young men who are built like heavyweight boxers.  It should be a fantastic watch and the winner of that battle could end up being the difference maker in the eventual result.  Another man Celtic have to be wary of is Pirlo.  Pirlo is thirty-three years old now but he's the sort of player who could play until he's forty.  He's not the quickest player in the world but he doesn't have to be.  All the speed he needs is in his brain.  He has the ability to see things that most players don't see and he also has the technical ability to make the pass.  If Celtic stand back and let Pirlo dictate the pace of the game then they may as well concede the tie before kick off.  Pirlo is the sort of player who warrants special attention and Neil Lennon will need a plan to reduce his impact on the outcome.

Most Celtic fans seem to be favouring a 4-3-3 but I expect to see Celtic line up in the 4-4-1-1 that served us so well in the group stages.  If it was good enough to beat Barcelona then I don't see why we would change things now.  My line up would be as follows:

GK : Fraser Forster - He is a top class goalkeeper and with Joe Hart making mistake after mistake it should only be a matter of time before he is England's number one.

RB : Adam Matthews - Matthews is probably a better attacker than defender but his pace usually gets him out of trouble and he deserves a start.

LB : Emilio Izaguirre - Similar to Matthews in that his pace is his best asset in defending.  He hasn't been as good since his injury but is still the best left-back at the club.

CB : Kelvin Wilson - Wilson has grown into his role at the club and has come a long way since a poor start to his Celtic career.  He is quick too and it's an asset I like in a centre-back.

CB : Mikael Lustig - Realistically, if Nigeria hadn't done so well in the African Cup of Nations he would have been playing right-back but as it is I'd expect him to partner Wilson at the heart of the defence.  Efe Ambrose is a good player but I can't see how Celtic can put a player into the biggest game of the season who has had the lack o preparation that he has.

RM : Scott Brown - The skipper will most likely start on the right but with Juventus playing three in the middle as well as wing-backs, I expect we will see him drift from right to middle when required.  Personally, I'd put him in the middle and play Forrest here but I'd be very surprised if Lennon does that.

LM : Charlie Mulgrew - Mulgrew's set pieces will have a big impact on this game and he can play just about everywhere but for this occasion, I think the left wings the place for him.  Like Brown, I don't think he will be restricted to the wing and will come inside when required but he will start out wide.

CM : Victor Wanyama - What a find he was?  Wanyama cost peanuts when he moved to Celtic from Germinal Beerschot but he has been a fantastic signing and is a massive reason that Celtic are at this stage in the competition.  For anyone who still doubts how good he is, just watch the Barcelona games were he was the best midfielder on show in both games.

CM : Joe Ledley - Ledley's at his best when you don't really notice him.  He just quietly gets on with things but when he's played in centre-midfield he never lets the team down.

AM : Georgios Samaras - Obviously this depends on his fitness test but I would feel a lot better about this game if the big man is playing in this role.  In this position he will have two jobs to do.  Juventus will most likely have a lot of possession and I expect Celtic to be under pressure for large periods of the game.  When he get it, we have to make it count.  Samaras is the best player we have at holding the ball up.  He can carry the ball or just hold it up to allow the midfield to get out.  He needs to be our out ball and when used in this role he has always done well.  His second job and perhaps most important job, is to babysit Andrea Pirlo.  Pirlo is an expert at finding space in the midfield and we need Samaras to shadow him when possible.  If Celtic played a normal 4-4-2 or even 4-3-3, Pirlo would just sit in the gap between the defence and his midfield colleagues and dictate the play.  With Samaras on his tail, hopefully he won't be able to do that. 

CF : Gary Hooper - Hooper is perfect for this role.  He has pace, can play football when required and if presented with an opportunity, I'm backing him to finish it.  With three centre-backs for company it will most likely be a frustrating night for him but he only needs a second to score a goal and there's no better man for the job.

I would expect to see Kris Commons and James Forrest at some stage too.  Both are quality players and if it was up to me they would be in with a shout of starting but Neil Lennon has always favoured the cautious approach and it has got us this far so it's hard to complain.  One thing I would like to see Celtic do is try to force Juventus into a 5-3-2.  By going 4-4-1-1 and having Brown and Mulgrew out wide the Juventus wing-backs will have to be careful when going forward.  If Celtic played 4-3-3, the wing-backs could push forward knowing that there's three defenders to cover Celtic's forwards and Pirlo will be just in front of them to act as a spare man.  With a 4-4-1-1, the wing-backs will know that Celtic have Samaras and Hooper ready to attack as well as two wide men and that would leave the Italians short at the back.  By doing this Celtic will be narrowing the areas they have to defend and when required, Brown and Mulgrew have plenty of experience in central areas and will be more than capable of providing the necessary cover. 

Prediction - It's a hard one to call.  Celtic need to respect Juventus as they are technically superior but we are well capable of causing them problems.  I can't see there being a lot of goals in this one and can see 0-0 or 1-0 to either side.  I'll put my neck on the line and go with a 1-0 win to the bhoys in green and white.     

Monday, 4 February 2013

Superbowl XLVII - Baltimore Ravens 34-31 San Francisco 49ers

There we have it.  Superbowl XLVII is in the books and it was the Baltimore Ravens who picked up the Lombardi Trophy after another fantastic game.  The game looked over when Jacoby Jones scored a touchdown after a 108 yard kick off return to open the second half.  It looked like something dramatic and crazy would have to happen to allow the 49ers to get back into the game.  Something dramatic and crazy like a power cut?  Obviously we can't say for definite that it changed the game but it certainly looked like the 49ers dealt with it better and came out flying after the interruption.

Up until then it had been all Baltimore and they led 28-6 when one half of the stadium was plunged into darkness.  The Ravens were well on top on both sides of the ball and had scored four touchdowns while restricting the 49ers to just two field goals.  After the break the 49ers came back with a bang and scored seventeen unanswered points to reduce the gap to five points at the end of the third quarter.  The Ravens responded with a field goal but the 49ers scored a touchdown to reduce the deficit to two points.  They decided to go for the two point conversion to level the game but the Ravens ran a blitz and the attempt failed.  In my opinion the Ravens had a bit of luck as it looked like there was an offside on the play.  As it was the officials missed it and the Ravens went on a clock killing, 10 play drive that took 5:38 off the clock.  The drive ended with a Ravens field goal that left the score at 34-29 with 4:19 remaining.  The 49ers got down to work and made good progress down the field.  After five plays the 49ers had first and goal on the Baltimore seven yard line and looked sure to score.  They tried a run play on first down that got the ball to the five and took the game to the two minute warning.  Two incompletions later and the ball was still on the five as the 49ers lined up for fourth down.  Kaepernick got a pass off and it seemed clear to everyone watching that Michael Crabtree was held but bizarrely the officials let the play go. 

The Ravens now had the ball with 1:46 left on the clock.  San Francisco had one timeout left after wasting their second one on the previous drive when it looked as though they were about to be hit with a delay of game penalty.  Due to the lack of timeouts, the Ravens were able to run the ball on the first three downs which left just twelve seconds on the clock.  Instead of punting from the back of the endzone they very cleverly took an intentional safety which allowed them to run eight seconds off the clock and then punt from their own twenty which made things a lot more difficult for the 49ers.  As it was Sam Koch hit a booming kick right down the field which Ted Ginn Jr managed to get back to midfield but after breaking a few tackles he was eventually brought down which set off the purple ticker tape much to the delight of everyone involved with the Baltimore Ravens. 

It's hard to take the victory away from the Ravens but I would point to two dubious calls late in the game which may have changed the outcome.  However, it wasn't to be and in a few years time it will only be the San Francisco 49ers fans who remember those bad calls and everyone else will remember that Joe Flacco, Ray Lewis, John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens won Superbowl XLVII. 

Once again, the most important statistic in football reared it's head and the team who lost the turnovers battle, lost the game.  The Baltimore Ravens turned the ball over once and the 49ers turned it over twice.  The 49ers went close to beating that stat but not close enough and in each of this years eleven playoff games, the winner of the turnover battle was the winner of the game.  If that doesn't underline how important it is to take care of the football, then nothing will. 

The San Francisco 49ers put together a good run this year and got an extra step closer to success but they will no doubt be developing a few scars after last years defeat in the NFC title game and this years Superbowl loss.  I imagine next seasons mantra will be, "one more win" or something to that effect.  The 49ers deserve a lot of credit for their performances in the last two years but as an Eagles fan I know as well as anyone that when you make it to these games, you have to take advantage of it as it can all go very wrong, very quickly. 

In the game itself, Colin Kaepernick finished with 302 yards, a touchdown and an interception.  On the ground he ran for 62 yards and a touchdown.  Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis were his leading receivers.  Crabtree caught 5 passes for 109 yards and a touchdown.  Davis caught 6 passes for 104 yards.  Frank Gore also had a good game on the ground, rushing for 110 yards and a touchdown. 

The Ravens struggled on the ground and averaged just 2.7 yards per carry.  Ray Rice picked up 59 yards from 20 carries and Bernard Pierce ran for 33 yards from 12 carries.  Anquan Boldin was their leading receiver, catching 6 passes for 104 yards and a touchdown.  Jacoby Jones also had a great day, catching a 56 yard touchdown pass and he also returned a kickoff for a 108 yard touchdown.  All those players played well but the MVP for this game and right through the playoffs was Joe Flacco.  Flacco completed two thirds of his passes for 287 yards and 3 touchdowns.  He has been outstanding throughout and nobody deserves more credit for this Superbowl win than Joe Flacco.  He has been a bit of a joke figure throughout his career but eleven touchdowns and no interceptions on the way to a Superbowl victory is the best way anyone can stick two fingers up to their critics.  Flacco will now get a huge contract with the Ravens and if he can carry his current form into next season then there's no doubt that Flacco will be in that elite bracket with other Superbowl champions like Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers. 

No Superbowl review would be complete without mentioning the two stories that dominated the build up to the big game, Ray Lewis' retirement and the battle of the Harbaugh brothers.  Ray Lewis got the end to his hall of fame career that he could only have dreamt of.  No professional sports man fits the marmite tag more than Lewis.  Some hate him, some love him but nobody can deny that on the field he has been a pleasure to watch over the years and will go down as one of the best linebackers in the games illustrious history. 

The other story was the amazing circumstances that led to two brothers standing on opposing sidelines.  Jim and John Harbaugh have proven themselves to be excellent coaches in the NFL and with them both being in the early stages of their careers, this may not be the last time that they go head to head in the Superbowl.  It is an amazing story though and when you consider the amount of coaches at every NFL franchise and throughout college football it is remarkable that they have been able to work their way up the coaching ranks to be the head coaches in a Superbowl.  Their family will be extremely proud of their achievements but at the same time it will also have been an extremely difficult time for them.  In the end John is the brother who will be getting fitted for a Superbowl ring and as happy an occasion as that is, there will always be the sadness that it came at Jim's expense.  The brothers seem solid though and I've no doubt that nothing would please John more than to see his younger brother follow in his footsteps and get his ring in the next few years. 

49ers Offensive Star :
Frank Gore - Gore just edges Kaepernick for me.  His 5.8 yards per carry and a touchdown was a good return and Kaepernick gets a negative mark for what was a very poor and costly interception.
49ers Defensive Star :
NaVorro Bowman - 9 tackles including 2 for a loss and 2 hits on Joe Flacco were enough to earn Bowman this prize but unfortunately for him, it wasn't enough to win the game for the 49ers.
Ravens Offensive Star : Joe Flacco - Who else but the Superbowl's MVP?  Flacco has been excellent throughout and although he was run close by Jacoby Jones, he deserves it for his play right through the playoffs.
Ravens Defensive Star : Corey Graham - This guy has shown himself to be a top class cornerback in this playoff run and he was on top of his game last night.  He made 6 tackles but more importantly he made 2 crucial pass deflections that had a big impact on the result. 


NFL PLAYOFF CHALLENGE AND PICKS


Big congratulations to Edward McMullan whose Mallbrohimovic team won the blog's league on NFL.com.  Edward is a New York Giants fan but we won't hold that against him.  My own challenge went much the same way as my predictions.  After a 4-0 start and getting all eight of my team through the wildcard round, things took a bad turn for me.  After that I went 2-5 to finish 6-5 for the playoffs and I never managed to pick one player who won a divisional round match or a conference championship match.  It wasn't to be for me and it looks like I will have to abandon my gung ho style and take a safer approach in next years competition. 


THANK YOU


Finally, I'd like to give a big thanks to everyone who has read the blog over the course of the season.  It has had thousands of hits and it makes all the time I have put into it worthwhile.  Next up for me is the birth of my third child.  My wife is due in the next few days and fingers crossed all goes well.  I will most likely take a short break when that happens but rest assured I will be back posting within a few weeks although I'm not sure what subject it will be on.  I've no doubt, I'll have plenty to say on Free Agency, the NFL Draft and I will most definitely be back posting on the 2013 NFL season in September where I WILL finish with a better record than I did this year.  Once again thanks and in the mean time feel free to follow me on Twitter.  https://twitter.com/gjsportsblog

Sunday, 3 February 2013

Superbowl XLVII - Baltimore Ravens v San Francisco 49ers

So after almost five months and over eighty NFL related posts on my blog, we are finally here and Superbowl XLVII is just hours away.  It's been a long season but it has been another good one.  We've had some great moments along the way and what better way to end it than with a bit of history in the Superbowl.  It is amazing to think that the Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers are coached by two brothers and one can only imagine the pride that their parents must be feeling right now.

The game itself is very intriguing.  Both sides lost Conference Championship games last year but have bounced back from the disappointment to go one step further and reach the Superbowl.  Both sides have done things a little different this year and whilst I haven't always agreed with it, I've been proved wrong.  Initially I had them both as playoff teams and in my preseason predictions, I even picked the 49ers to win the Superbowl.  As much as I'd love to sit here and bask in the glow of that prediction, I have to be honest and say once Alex Smith was replaced by Colin Kaepernick that went out the window.  I still have issues with Kaepernick and it was a risky strategy from Jim Harbaugh to make such a big personnel change midway through the season.  However, as much as I can look for ways to argue, the bottom line is Kapaernick, Jim Harbaugh and the San Francisco 49ers have made it work and they have earned the right to represent the NFC in Superbowl XLVII. 

In the regular season, these teams won their divisions but neither held their conferences top seed.  The Denver Broncos and Atlanta Falcons held that honour and it is no coincidence that the 49ers and Ravens have had to beat those two along the way to getting this far.  The 49ers and Ravens both had decent regular seasons but more importantly, they improved in the playoffs.  All year I have been looking at certain statistics to help me gage how good certain teams are.  The Ravens have improved in 63% of the statistics I look at and the 49ers have improved in 75%.  It just goes to show how important it is to peak at the right time in the NFL. 

It will be no secret to anyone that the statistic I believe to be the most important is turnovers.  I have looked at all ten playoff games so far and in every single game the team who has won the turnover battle has won the match.  There was a few games were the teams had the same amount of turnovers but in the games were their was an outright winner, that team won the match.  It will also not come as a surprise to learn that when I looked at the turnover differential table, the top two teams are the Baltimore Ravens (+5) and the San Francisco 49ers (+2). 

One of the things I am looking forward to, is seeing how the Baltimore Ravens cope with the 49ers offense.  In their three games so far, the Ravens have faced three passing teams.  They have managed to get the better of Andrew Luck, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady but they face a totally different task when they take on Colin Kaepernick.  The Ravens haven't done well against mobile quarterbacks and lost to Michael Vick and Robert Griffin III.  Another of their defeats came against the Houston Texans who don't have a mobile quarterback but I would consider them to be a run first offense.  The 49ers will combine a mobile quarterback with a run first offense and the Ravens will have to find a way to deal with that.  They have improved on a lot of things throughout this playoff run so it's certainly possible that they will have a plan to deal with the 49ers. 

In their two playoff games so far, the 49ers offense has put up some great numbers.  In the regular season they averaged 362 yards of offense per game.  In the playoffs they have improved their passing and their running.  They are averaging 476 yards per game and most of that improvement has come on the ground.  They are averaging almost as many yards on the ground as they are in the air with 236 rushing yards and 240 passing yards. 

The one big issue is they have struggled against the pass so far.  In the regular season they gave up just over 200 yards per game in the air.  In their two playoff wins they have gave up a total of 644 yards.  That's a huge increase but it can be offset a little by the fact that they played two pass heavy teams and a lot of their regular season schedule was against teams who prefer to run the ball.  The 49ers will face a difficult task on defense as the Ravens have shown that they can win the game on the ground or in the air.  Joe Flacco has done a great job in the playoffs but it things aren't working out for him he can always turn to Ray Rice who is among the best rushers in the NFL.

I can't write my preview without mentioning that this is the final game in the career of an NFL legend, Ray Lewis.  Nobody can deny his achievements on the field and he has been a fantastic player for the Ravens over the years.  He has had his fair share of controversies, including one this week when it has been claimed that he has been using illegal substances but that's a story for someone else and unless it's proven that he broke the rules, it's not a subject I will be talking about.  Lewis has always been a controversial character but he is one of few players who will be able to say that he left everything on the field each and every time he stepped onto it.

Prediction -
My final prediction of the season.  Who will be crowned as King of the Harbaugh's?  I'd like to say John as I like him but this isn't a personality contest and everything I know about football and everything I have learned this year about football tells me that the San Francisco 49ers will be crowned Superbowl XLVII champions.


Finally, I'd just like to thank everyone for all their support this season.  A blog is pointless without readers and I have enjoyed reading all the comments, debates and encouragement received.  I will do a review of the game but after that I'm not sure what I will be doing with regards the blog.  You can follow me on Twitter if you want to keep up to date with any future plans.  Thanks everyone and hopefully we will enjoy a great game.  Good luck folks.  Twitter - https://twitter.com/gjsportsblog

   

Sunday, 27 January 2013

Pro Bowl - What's The Point?

After the excitement of last weekends Conference Championship Games, things slow down this week as the Pro Bowl takes place in Hawaii.  I love American Football and believe that the NFL and the sport in general get a hell of a lot of things right but the Pro Bowl is the one exception.

I love the draft system.  Giving the weaker teams first pick is excellent as it makes a level playing field.  The salary cap is also excellent for the same reason.  I love that the players are drafted from colleges as it means the kids who dream of making the NFL but don't make it at least have an education to fall back on.  I would love to see a way that soccer in Europe could adopt this principle as there are so many kids who don't make it but have finished their education at 16 years old to go into football academies on a full time basis and therefore have little or no qualifications.  The one thing I don't love, is the Pro Bowl.

In recent seasons the Pro Bowl has been moved to the week before the Superbowl.  That for me was the final straw.  Previously you had a game that the players and fans didn't really care between the league's top stars.  Now you have a game that the players and fans don't really care about and you don't even have the very best players playing as they are preparing for the Superbowl.  Honestly, what's the point?  I understand that the players who are voted onto the Pro Bowl can use the fact that they are Pro Bowlers in leverage for better contracts but the players themselves would probably prefer it if it was just an award that was handed out at the end of the year rather than having to play a meaningless game when their season's over.  For the players who have been involved in the playoffs it's not so bad but if your team hasn't made the postseason there will be players who won't have played in four weeks who will then be asked to play in the Pro Bowl.  It's doing nothing other than eating into time that the players could be spending with their families or on holidays.

In other sports the equivalents are often played during the regular season.  I've had a think about this and it wouldn't work in the NFL.  There's just not enough games.  If the Pro Bowl was mid season the voting would have to start in week 2 or 3 to get all the votes in, counted and announced prior to the game being played.  That would be far too early and players who aren't necessarily fan favourites but have a good season, wouldn't get the recognition they deserve. 

In my opinion, players deserve recognition for being among the best in their position in the league but think the players would prefer it to be some sort of compromise between the All-Pro teams and the Pro Bowl teams.  I would start voting the day after the Superbowl and have three separate votes.  One for journalists, one for players and one for fans.  Each vote would be calculated as a percentage and added together.  The top players in each position would be named as All-Stars, All-Pros or whatever you want to call them.  You could go down the basketball route and have a first team, second team, third team or however many you want.  This way the top players are still getting recognised but we don't have to sit through a meaningless game were players play at a maximum of 50%. 

The players aren't interested, I don't know anyone who is really excited by the prospect of watching it and in Hawaii the game was close to being blacked out due to poor ticket sales.  If the people of Hawaii were interested in the one chance they get a year to see NFL players in action, they would have sold out weeks ago.  It seems to me that the only person who cares is Roger Goodell as it's simply another chance for him to get some more dollars into the bank before the season ends.  For a man that talks so much about player safety, I can't understand why he is making the players play in a meaningless end of season game were the only thing the players care about is that they don't get injured.  Would Roger Goodell stand in a field and let 300lb men hit him for no reason?  No, I don't think he would either.



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Monday, 21 January 2013

NFL - Championship Weekend Review

NFC - San Francisco 49ers 28-24 Atlanta Falcons

The San Francisco 49ers came from 17-0 down to beat the Atlanta Falcons and secure their first Superbowl appearance since 1994.

The 49ers started off very slowly and were 17-0 down early in the second quarter.  They rallied after that though and got back to 17-14 but the Falcons got another touchdown before half-time to lead 24-14 at the break.  The 49ers defense came up big in the second half though.  The Falcons were unable to add to the 24 points they had scored in the first half and the offense got the two touchdowns that were required to complete the comeback.

The defeat will have left some mental scars on the Falcons as they threw away a big league for the second week in a row.  Last week they were able to respond with a field goal to win the game but this week a field goal was no use and they needed to get the ball in the end zone but they were unable to get beyond the San Francisco 10 yard line.    They got one final chance when the 49ers went three and out and were forced to punt.  The Falcons had six seconds on the clock and the ball on their own 41.  The play had to be a Hail Mary or some sort of a lateral play but instead the Falcons played a mid range pass to Julio Jones at the 49ers 35 and he was tackled instantly which ended the game.  The Falcons had no timeouts left and the pass was played into the middle of the field so I have no idea what they were thinking of.  That play summed up the Falcons entire second half and they never really looked likely to score until the drive just after the 49ers scored.  Much of the criticism should be handed to the coaches.  They were having some success early on by being aggressive on offense.  Once they got into the lead they changed styles and tried to protect their lead.  They had all the momentum and let it slip but they are not the first team to make that mistake and certainly won't be the last.

Matt Ryan had a mixed game.  He threw for 396 yards and 3 touchdowns but he was also responsible for two bad turnovers.  He was intercepted after throwing the ball straight to Chris Culliver and he also lost a fumble when he took his eyes off the ball on a shotgun snap.  Turnovers aside, he was excellent but everyone knows that turnovers will cost you games and it was the case yesterday.  The Falcons weren't great on the ground, picking up 81 yards from 23 running plays.  The Falcons were once again led in the passing game by their three big stars, Julio Jones, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez.  Jones caught 11 passes for 182 yards and 2 touchdowns.  White caught 7 passes for 100 yards and Gonzalez caught 8 passes for 78 yards and a touchdown.

The 49ers deserve a lot of credit for their performance.  After falling behind so early many teams would have crumbled but the 49ers refused to panic.  They stuck to their game plan and were rewarded with two touchdowns to get back to within three but conceded another touchdown just before the half to leave the deficit at ten points.  They came out in the second half and continued to plug away and got the gap back to three points with a touchdown early in the third quarter.  The teams then had a bit of a crazy spell were both had turnovers and the 49ers missed a field goal before San Francisco eventually took the lead thanks to a Vernon Davis touchdown with just over eight minutes remaining.  The 49ers allowed the Falcons to get up the field but a field goal was no use at this stage and they managed to keep them out of the end zone to secure the win. 

One man who deserves a lot of credit is quarterback, Colin Kaepernick.  He had what I would say was the best game of his career.  Everyone knows what he can do on the ground but I'm old fashioned and like a quarterback who can pass the ball.  I've spent many an evening over the last month or two writing about how bad a passer he is so it's only right that I acknowledge how good he was in this game.  He completed 16 of his 21 passes for 231 yards and a touchdown.  Those numbers are very good but they don't do justice to how well he played.  He left the running side of the game to the running-backs and stood in the pocket and made some fantastic passes.  I have to be honest and say that I didn't think he had that kind of performance in him but he stepped up and played like a pure passer to lead his team to a Superbowl and I can't give him enough credit for that.  He's still a young guy and if he can continue to improve as a passer and play with more consistency in that area, he could have a big career in the NFL.  Other stars for the 49ers were Frank Gore who ran for 90 yards and 2 touchdowns from 21 carries and Vernon Davis who caught 5 passes for 106 yards and a touchdown.

For the Falcons, there will be a lot of soul searching in the off season.  It looks as though Tony Gonzalez will retire which will be a big loss for them.  They will also need to address what happened in these playoffs and why they gave away two big leads in their two games.  In my opinion, it was bad coaching.  They got themselves into good positions with aggressive play calling and then tried to hang onto the lead by relying on their defense and running game to kill time.  Neither unit were good enough and the Falcons are at their best when they are going for the jugular and trying to beat teams instead of maintaining leads. 

For the 49ers, it's two weeks of studying film, training, hard work and coming up with a plan to pick up a win in New Orleans in the Har-Bowl. 

49ers Offensive Star :
Colin Kaepernick - Vernon Davis and Frank Gore deserve this just as much but Kaepernick showed us a side to his game that we hadn't really saw before.
49ers Defensive Star :
Patrick Willis - Twelve tackles including one for a loss was a good return from the linebacker.
Falcons Offensive Star :
Julio Jones - Jones deserved to be in a Superbowl after picking up 182 yards and 2 touchdowns from his 11 catches.
Falcons Defensive Star : Thomas DeCoud - The Falcons safety made 8 tackles and also deflected a pass.



Baltimore Ravens 28-13 New England Patriots
The Baltimore Ravens secured an unlikely passage to the Superbowl after a big win over the New England Patriots last night.  Nobody has earned a place in the Superbowl more than this Baltimore Ravens team.  They came into the playoffs as the fourth seed and beat the Indianapolis Colts who had a better regular season record than them, the Denver Broncos who looked like the best team in the AFC by quite some distance and finally, the New England Patriots who have more experience of Championship games than any other team in recent years.  I did expect them to prevail against the Colts but I gave them next to no chance against the Broncos and the Patriots and on both occasions they have gone into hostile atmosphere's and done the business. 

Statistically the game was fairly tight but there were a few key differences between the sides and it turned out to be the difference between winning and losing.  I have been banging on all year about turnovers and once again this game was evidence of the fact that it's very hard to win in this league if you turn the ball over.  The Patriots turned it over three times and the Ravens managed to avoid any turnovers.  The first turnover was costly as the Patriots were eight behind and had drove  to midfield and then lost the ball to a fumble.  Not content at stopping the Patriots from scoring, the Ravens turned the turnover into points and got a touchdown to extend their lead to fifteen points.  The last two were interceptions when the Patriots were in desperation mode.  The first was in Ravens territory and the Patriots looked like reducing the gap to eight points with around half the fourth quarter to play.  Instead Tom Brady was picked off and the Ravens managed to drive down the field and take 4:44 off the clock.  That left the Patriots fifteen behind and just over two minutes left.  The Pats were moving the ball down the field but got intercepted again and that left the Ravens in the position were they could take two kneels to finish off the game.  The other difference was their success in the red zone.  The Ravens went four from four in the red zone and the Patriots only went one from four.  They had to kick two field goals and also turned another one over on downs. 

Baltimore were once again led by quarterback, Joe Flacco.  Flacco has been outstanding in the playoffs and had another fantastic game, throwing for 240 yards and 3 touchdowns.  His main targets were Torrey Smith, Anquan Boldin and Dennis Pitta.  Smith caught 4 passes for 69 yards, Boldin caught 5 for 60 yards and 2 touchdowns and Dennis Pitta caught 5 passes for 55 yards and a touchdown.  The ground game wasn't hugely effective and the Patriots done a good job of stopping Ray Rice.  He did get a touchdown but they restricted him to just 48 yards from 19 carries.  Bernard Pierce was a bit more dangerous and ran for 52 yards from 9 carries. 

Tom Brady didn't have a great game for the Patriots, completing 29 of 54 passes for 320 yards, a touchdown and 2 interceptions.  When Brady gets to throw 54 passes you expect a lot more than thirteen points to show for it.  His leading receivers were Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez and Brandon Lloyd.  Welker led the way with 8 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown.  Hernandez caught 9 passes for 83 yards and Lloyd caught 7 passes for 70 yards.  Stevan Ridley was the leading rusher and picked up 70 yards from his 18 carries.  He was also the man responsible for the fumble that led to the Ravens fourth touchdown so it wasn't a great day for the running-back. 

To be honest, I'm not sure were the Patriots go from here.  Eight seasons have passed since they last won the Superbowl and for guys like Tom Brady and Bill Belichick who set their standards so high, it's not good enough.  They have been in the playoffs in seven of those eight seasons and their regular season record has never been worse than 10-6 but for some reason they keep falling short in the big games.  Belichick will undoubtedly look to see what he can do to fix things as they are clearly not far from the right formula but these guys are born winners and anything other than a ring at the end of the season is good enough for the Patriots.

The Baltimore Ravens will be delighted to be going back to the Superbowl after so many close calls in recent years.  They won it in 2000 and have made the playoffs in eight of the twelve seasons that have passed since then.  This is their fifth consecutive year in the playoffs and in each of those years, they have won a game but failed to reach the Superbowl, until this season.  It will be a very special occasion for the entire franchise and especially their legendary linebacker, Ray Lewis.  Lewis announced a few weeks ago that he will be retiring at the end of this season and surely there is no better way for a true NFL legend to go out than with a Superbowl appearance. 

Ravens Offensive Star :
Joe Flacco - Who is this new guy playing under center for the Ravens?  We have saw a completely different Flacco in the playoffs and long may it continue. 
Ravens Defensive Star : Ray Lewis - Lewis has been in the conversation in the last two games but he gets the nod this week after a massive 14 tackles.
Patriots Offensive Star : Wes Welker - The Patriots need to get Welker's contract situation sorted as he is a huge player for the franchise.
Patriots Defensive Star :
Rob Ninkovich - 8 tackles, two of which were for a loss and 2 sacks were not enough to send the Patriots back to the Superbowl.